Bernalillo, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Bernalillo NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Bernalillo NM
Issued by: National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM |
Updated: 2:15 pm MDT Jul 10, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Hot
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Tonight
 Mostly Clear
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Friday
 Hot
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Friday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Saturday
 Sunny then Scattered T-storms
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Saturday Night
 Scattered T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Sunday
 Partly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Chance T-storms then Mostly Cloudy
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Monday
 Partly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Hi 102 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 101 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 95 °F |
Lo 62 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
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Heat Advisory
Heat Advisory
This Afternoon
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Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Southwest wind around 10 mph. |
Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 67. West wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east in the evening. |
Friday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming east in the evening. |
Saturday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday Night
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Sunday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. |
Sunday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. |
Monday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. |
Monday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. |
Tuesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Wednesday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. |
Wednesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Bernalillo NM.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
803
FXUS65 KABQ 101825
AFDABQ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1225 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1035 AM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025
- Hazardous heat continues for the northwest plateau and
Albuquerque Metro into Friday.
- There is a marginal risk for severe storms across northeast and
east central NM this afternoon and again Friday, with the main
threat being damaging wind gusts.
- A backdoor front will recharge moisture and lead to an increase
in daily rounds of storms this weekend into next week, with
locally heavy rainfall possible. The threat for burn scar flash
flooding will be elevated this weekend through much of next
week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday Night)
Issued at 1035 AM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025
A 596dam 500mb high is centered over the northern Baja Peninsula
and extending a ridge axis over central NM, bringing drier
conditions and another day of moderate heat risk to to much of
western NM. The westerlies are intruding across northwest and
north central NM on the north side of the ridge axis and will
result in breezy/gusty conditions by mid/late afternoon given deep
layer mixing. Meanwhile across northeast NM, sufficient deep layer
shear and instability exist for a few strong to potentially severe
storms, with the main threat being damaging wind gusts into the
evening hours. Similar setup Friday, but with dry westerlies
penetrating further east into the state. A Heat Advisory is in
effect for Friday now for the Farmington area and Albuquerque
Metro, with highs forecast to reach to between 100-102 degrees.
Both 0-6km bulk shear and surface based instability are forecast
to increase slightly Friday compared to today across northeast NM
and a few strong to severe storms are more likely by afternoon,
with storms dropping southeast near the NM/TX border well into the
evening hours. The combination of a backdoor front and thunderstorm
outflow will send low level moisture west to the central mountain
chain late Friday night and result in a gusty east canyon wind
into the RGV by sunrise, though speeds are forecast to remain well
below advisory criteria at this time.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1035 AM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025
PWATs will get a nice bump across central NM on Saturday from
moist low level easterly flow. Saturday is looking rather active
now, with storms forecast to initiate along the Continental
Divide and central mountain chain. Northwest flow aloft will steer
storms slowly southeast into moist easterly low level inflow,
leading to an increased threat for locally heavy rainfall. In
addition, modest instability and 0-6km bulk shear will bring a
threat for strong to potentially severe storms to central NM
Saturday afternoon and evening. The flow aloft will change from
northwest on Saturday to northeast on Sunday as the upper high
drifts north from the Baja and expands, allowing an inverted
trough to move southwest into southeast NM. With plenty of
moisture in place, Sunday will be another active day and the
threat for burn scar flash flooding will be back on the uptrend
over the weekend. The inverted trough will get hung up over
eastern NM early next week as an upper high builds up along the
upper Gulf coast and balances out the upper high to our west. This
setup will allow for continued good chances for thunderstorms and
soaking rains given slow and erratic storm motion. Another
backdoor front will move in next Thursday and recharge moisture
for an uptrend in thunderstorms going into the following weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1035 AM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025
VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF
period. Winds will increase out of the west or southwest and get
gusty by mid afternoon across western and central NM. Isolated to
scattered storms moving east across the area later this afternoon
may impact KLVS initially and then go on to KTCC during the
evening hours. Strong/erratic wind gusts will be the main threat
with these storms.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1035 AM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will prevail
through Friday across northwest NM due to deep layer mixing of the
westerlies and hot daytime temperatures. Otherwise, critical fire
weather conditions are not forecast through the next seven days as
moisture increases over the weekend and brings a resurgence of
chances for wetting storms going through the middle of next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 59 100 60 98 / 0 0 0 0
Dulce........................... 46 93 45 90 / 0 0 10 40
Cuba............................ 58 93 56 89 / 0 0 5 30
Gallup.......................... 53 95 50 94 / 5 0 0 5
El Morro........................ 56 91 54 91 / 10 0 0 20
Grants.......................... 57 96 54 92 / 5 0 0 20
Quemado......................... 61 92 57 91 / 20 0 5 20
Magdalena....................... 68 94 63 89 / 10 5 5 40
Datil........................... 63 91 60 88 / 10 0 5 40
Reserve......................... 57 97 54 96 / 20 10 10 30
Glenwood........................ 63 102 60 100 / 20 10 5 40
Chama........................... 48 86 47 82 / 0 0 10 60
Los Alamos...................... 63 89 60 81 / 0 10 10 60
Pecos........................... 58 89 56 79 / 10 20 20 70
Cerro/Questa.................... 54 87 52 81 / 5 20 30 70
Red River....................... 46 78 44 71 / 10 30 40 70
Angel Fire...................... 40 81 40 72 / 10 30 30 70
Taos............................ 50 90 52 83 / 0 20 20 60
Mora............................ 52 84 49 74 / 10 30 30 70
Espanola........................ 60 97 59 90 / 0 0 10 50
Santa Fe........................ 63 92 60 84 / 5 10 20 60
Santa Fe Airport................ 60 95 59 87 / 5 10 10 50
Albuquerque Foothills........... 71 97 68 92 / 10 0 10 40
Albuquerque Heights............. 69 100 67 94 / 10 0 10 20
Albuquerque Valley.............. 68 102 67 97 / 10 0 5 20
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 68 100 68 94 / 10 0 5 30
Belen........................... 67 101 65 96 / 10 0 5 20
Bernalillo...................... 66 101 65 95 / 10 0 10 30
Bosque Farms.................... 65 101 65 96 / 10 0 5 20
Corrales........................ 67 102 67 96 / 10 0 5 30
Los Lunas....................... 66 101 65 96 / 10 0 5 20
Placitas........................ 67 96 65 90 / 10 0 10 40
Rio Rancho...................... 67 101 67 94 / 10 0 5 30
Socorro......................... 72 104 69 98 / 10 0 5 20
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 61 91 59 86 / 10 0 10 50
Tijeras......................... 63 93 61 87 / 10 0 10 50
Edgewood........................ 58 93 56 85 / 10 5 10 50
Moriarty/Estancia............... 55 94 55 85 / 10 5 10 50
Clines Corners.................. 58 87 56 76 / 20 10 10 60
Mountainair..................... 61 92 57 85 / 20 0 10 50
Gran Quivira.................... 61 92 58 85 / 20 5 10 50
Carrizozo....................... 68 97 65 89 / 20 10 10 50
Ruidoso......................... 63 89 58 81 / 20 20 10 60
Capulin......................... 53 81 52 71 / 50 40 70 70
Raton........................... 53 86 53 77 / 30 40 50 70
Springer........................ 54 88 55 78 / 20 40 40 70
Las Vegas....................... 54 86 52 76 / 20 30 20 70
Clayton......................... 61 90 60 78 / 60 20 60 40
Roy............................. 56 86 57 75 / 30 30 40 50
Conchas......................... 62 93 63 84 / 30 10 40 50
Santa Rosa...................... 62 91 62 82 / 30 10 20 40
Tucumcari....................... 62 92 61 81 / 30 5 40 30
Clovis.......................... 66 94 65 85 / 30 10 40 30
Portales........................ 66 94 65 87 / 30 10 30 30
Fort Sumner..................... 66 95 65 87 / 20 5 20 20
Roswell......................... 71 100 70 92 / 20 10 5 20
Picacho......................... 66 94 63 87 / 10 20 5 40
Elk............................. 65 94 60 85 / 10 20 5 50
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening for NMZ201-207-219.
Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM MDT Friday for NMZ201-219.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11
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